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Posts Tagged ‘trends’

Hotel occupancy at lowest since Great Depression

Saturday, 02 January 2010 11:42 Written by Eric Garland 6 Comments

With a h/t to Calculated Risk, hotel occupancy has reached record low levels:

In terms of the occupancy rate, 2009 was the worst year since the Great Depression (close to 55%). And last week was no exception with Smith Travel Research reporting the occupancy rate fell to 33.8 percent – the lowest weekly occupancy rate on record.

At CompFutures, we are waiting to see what the retail numbers are for Q4 2009, specifically to see if this pushes retail and commercial real estate over the edge.


Forecasting works: Functional foods 1999 – 2009

Friday, 04 September 2009 03:55 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

foodtechToday, the airwaves are filled with advertisements for consumer foods that aren’t simply nourishing but portrayed as practically medicine. A slew of softdrinks are marketed as hangover cures, energy, memory enhancers, cognitive enhancers, help with clairvoyance, and fuel for flight. Fish isn’t just fish, it’s OMEGA-3 FATTY ACIDS. And somewhere along the way, trans-fats replaced “Ebola virus” as the world’s deadliest substance. Is this random or could you see it coming?

Food as medicine was a theme we predicted for 2010 way back in 1999 when studying the future of food and health for a group of global consumer product manufacturers. The world seemed to be at a turning point at that moment, with a number of trends appearing to collide in the decade to come:

  • Super-size and family value packs had reached their apex, due to increasing penetration of fast food and big-box retail throughout the world
  • Obesity epidemic reaching a pitch, not only in America but also in unexpected places like France, Greece, China
  • Litigious American culture had finally apexed with its war on cigarette liability, and a new target was likely to be next
  • Biotechnology was promising new technological abilities for all plant life (this was the era of the Human Genome Project and techno-positive rhetoric was off the chart)
  • Boomers were aging, and increasingly interested in immortality on the cheap
  • Sustainability was increasing as a concern, and farming would be one of the most effected industries
  • The “Slow Food Movement” was beginning to point back to heirloom breeds of livestock and produce and encourage local diversity in favor of industrial solutions

Read more ...

The financial crisis and what it means for leaders

Tuesday, 14 October 2008 19:15 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

With everything that has happened in recent days, we here at Competitive Futures are really examining what we do as trend analysts.

Trends are the result of decisions human beings have made. Track them all you want – it’s the leaders that count.

What kind of leader are you? Are you thinking about the future?

Yes, it’s a marketing message for our firm, but more than ever we realize that the answer to those questions impact us all.

About the blog

This is the official trend blog of Competitive Futures, a management consultancy that provides trend research and analysis for business and government around the world. Here, we update you on interesting trends we see as part of our work for our clients.


For managing partner Eric Garland's new author and speaker blog, please consult and bookmark http://www.ericgarland.co

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