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Posts Tagged ‘politics’

Economic policy and politics need to meet in the middle

Thursday, 08 July 2010 11:12 Written by Dan Vecchi 0 Comments

While economic policy and national politics have always been a couple, sometimes the relationship can be strained by the injection of partisanship. The current crisis requires insight into the actual issues to make policy suggestions. The United States is running a risk by having its economics so colored by bitter partisan divisions, as this is one area where there needs to be solidarity.

In a thought provoking GPS episode, Fareed Zakaria interviews two very different schools of thought on the actions necessary. His conclusions are that we must meet in the middle of the political agendas and look at the economic possibilities. Essentially, his view is that the U.S. government needs to spend more now while also reviewing entitlement programs to make sure each dollar is spent in the most efficient manner – a classic centrist approach.

It is always a risk for a country when political in-fighting colors international economic policy. That is true for Greece, Spain, China, Iceland, and, of course, the United States.

Will Vermont secede from the United States?

Sunday, 31 January 2010 13:36 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

There is an interesting development at the intersection of political trends and economic trends. We have been recently covering the economic fissures in some of our largest states. California, Arizona, Illinois and Michigan teeter on the brink of financial crisis, and this in turn menaces the integrity of the United States Constitution. Letting California’s bonds go to junk will have long-reaching impacts – but if the Federal government begins distributing bailouts selectively, there are bigger legal problems at stake. Other states will have recourse to ask for money from the Federal government, making the relationships of the 50 states complicated indeed.

What’s another option for states? Leaving altogether. Now that’s a new trend in these parts.

The state of Vermont has had a secessionist movement dating back over 200 years, back to the time when it was an independent republic. It’s mostly been a topic of discussion over an excess of beer in pubs – until recently. Now, Time magazine reports that seven separate candidates are running for the state senate on a secessionist platform – plus a candidate for Lieutenant Governor. One of the points they raise is that the state is a net positive to the federal government, only receiving 75 cents in services for each dollar collected in taxes. Thus, a way to balance the books for Vermont is to cease paying US Federal taxes, and to move out on its own. And they are forecasting:

By 2020, they foresee Vermont producing at least 75% of its own electricity and heat, using wind-, solar-, biomass- and hydro-power. They want to establish a Bank of Vermont owned by the people of Vermont — freed from the arbitrary controls of central bankers — as well as a local alternative currency, with Vermont pension and operating funds invested not in Wall Street but in locally owned financial institutions.

A trend to follow.
Read more: http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,1957743,00.html#ixzz0eDTTVcS3

The 2012 Pelosi GTxi SS/RT Sport Edition – Strategic Scenarios in a Time of Political Intervention

Wednesday, 10 June 2009 09:14 Written by Eric Garland 1 Comment

If you have a certain nostalgia for 1980s Soviet advertising, or if you’re interested in the current state of the semi-nationalized automobile industry, you’ll get a chuckle out of this “scenario,” an ad for the 2012 Pelosi GTxi SS/RT Sport.

It’s funny, and yes, it contains some fairly partisan political jabs. That kind of material is something I would studiously avoid in a professional context – especially this blog. That said, we’re not in ordinary times. I would say that the current level of government involvement now means that political analysis of industry developments is more important than ever.

As I have said previously, the government is no longer simply regulating industry or financing it through monetary policy – it is now managing companies with the taxpayers as stockholders who have a right to see their investments protected. This will necessarily require an analysis of politicians and their goals. This may mean our competitive analyses will lay bare political feelings in our own organizations. That was the risk of the U.S. Government’s bailout policies, a dramatically-increased politicization of the American – and global – business environment. And here we are.

Is Facebook the eighth-largest country on Earth?

Thursday, 08 January 2009 13:38 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

Mark Zuckerberg makes that comparison in a recent post on his blog. At 150,000,000 inhabitants, Facebook would be a country with more population than Japan, Nigeria, and Russia.

I’m not sure about this comparison, but the implication for politics are very real indeed. We have typically defined the nation-state as a collective that shares ethnicity, borders, language, and a common set of myths and historical beliefs.

As jobs shift back and forth across continents, old industries die, ideas flow effortlessly, and governments seem a bit clue-less about what to do next, it seems that self-organizing systems will affect how humans design their politics.

How exactly will this change the world? I’m still working on that one…

About the blog

This is the official trend blog of Competitive Futures, a management consultancy that provides trend research and analysis for business and government around the world. Here, we update you on interesting trends we see as part of our work for our clients.


For managing partner Eric Garland's new author and speaker blog, please consult and bookmark http://www.ericgarland.co

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