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Posts Tagged ‘Media’

Twitter “worth” twice the New York Times

Thursday, 16 December 2010 15:48 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

Yes, that’s the headline making the rounds, and I suppose it is a signpost on the way to the future of media. Twitter just raised an additional $200 million, bringing its market cap to $3.7 billion. We are then reminded that this is twice the market capital of the “New York Times Company,” which apparently produces a small local weekly shopper tabloid in the Long Island metropolitan area, so the comparison is a Big Deal.

Question: What does Twitter do to make money?

Google: They have a clear business model: give search and YouTube and mail away for free, and stuff them full of target ads based on what the user is doing at the moment. Brilliant, profitable, and results in a $500 per share stock price.

Facebook: They have managed to get every human being on the planet to connect to each other and post pictures of their respective pets and undignified moments from high school. The humans all agree tacitly to let this data be harvested, which is bought by market researchers and advertisers. Clear, a bit more complex ethically, but likely monetizeable.

New York Times: Long form, urbane in-depth journalism with ads on every other page. Clear, 20th century , maybe-profitable-again-one-day business model.

Twitter: …sponsored tweets? Some people pay for them?

First, while I love Twitter and find it functional, until I understand what they buy low and sell high, I will reserve judgment on their business model and what it means for other companies.

Second, they shouldn’t be compared to the New York Times. Yes, newspapers are on hard times. Yes, their model was more successful in the 20th century. But the insight provided by long-form journalism is not remotely equivalent to 140 character blasts about “Dang, it’s snowy and mah car is burried!”

Just because something is no longer hip does not mean you should underestimate its importance. If I said “railroads” and “Chevy Volt,” which term would have more relevance to the “hotness” of 2010? Well, Berkshire Hathaway dropped $44 billion to acquire the Burlington Northern Sante Fe railroad. Very 19th century in terms of hipness, I’ll grant you, but Buffett is no dummy.

Pam Atherton: Don’t build a large audience! and other observations on the future of the media

Monday, 06 December 2010 14:34 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

Pam Atherton is one of our favorite human beings here at Competitive Futures. She talks for a living. She knows Weird Al Yankovic. She lives in New Mexico, an inherently cool place to be. And she knows a ton about the past and future of radio. Pam is the host of a wonderful, eclectic radio program entitled A Closer Look Radio. She has had me on as a guest regularly since the release of Future Inc, and as punishment, I have insisted on interviewing HER about where the media is going in the next twenty years.

Her insights on future trends in media are, as expected, fantastic, not to mention useful for business people, intelligence analysts, and everybody else:

  • We’re exiting the era of absolutely everybody producing media and thinking it’s of equal quality. Whether it sounds elitist or not, Andrew Keen is right.
  • Why podcasts and long-form journalism will return intellectual depth to the media ecosystem.
  • Market research is usually wrong, and sends the media professionals in the wrong direction when creating content.
  • As counterintuitive as it sounds, the era of the big audience is over – business people should cultivate small, committed audiences with which they have actual engagement.

A wry point of view on the level of major media

Tuesday, 07 September 2010 21:14 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

Because, sometimes, you need a more advanced form of information to make good decisions about the future.


TIME Announces New Version Of Magazine Aimed At Adults

Perceiving the universe through the American media

Tuesday, 30 March 2010 15:35 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

I love this video, not just for being funny, but because it defines in literal terms what it’s like to formulate some coherent story about the world and how it’s changing through American media.

Adult language; it’s The Onion after all.


Breaking News: Some Bullshit Happening Somewhere

Abandon major media, talk to each other: a podcast

Wednesday, 22 July 2009 22:20 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

At my gym, they have those televisions up above the cardio machines. We have five TVs, and three channels: CNN, VH1, and ESPN.

ESPN is completely innocuous: sports news. Harmless entertainment. VH1 oscillates between retrospectives of 80s rock and some of the most mindless reality television in existence, basically tolerable.

CtabloidNN however, has crossed the line. I have listened to them poke the corpse of Michael Jackson for two consecutive weeks. His father, his doctor, “It could have been a murder!” despite the strain of 75 different plastic surgeries. I can take no more. I find now that my exercise is no longer limited by my cardiovascular capacity, but by my ability to withstand the Stupid.

And then, today, on the crawl below the screen: “Bernanke says economy now better.”

I laughed out loud. I know that media is not really here to help us think deeply, but this was truly Kafkaesque. CNN is trying to inflame this poor singer’s death into some game of Clue, meanwhile commercial real estate will finish the job the subprime started. And then the pithy little crawl runs by, “Guy in charge says it’s OK!”

It is what it is. As I explain in the podcast below, this isn’t a moral judgment, but a business judgment. Formerly credible media are forced to take refuge in sex, death, celebrity, and calamity. Actually, they are really heavy on the death, since that’s a sure punch to the lizard brain.

YOU NEED INFORMATION. You just may need it from sources other than the media we have been trained to accept as credible. Again, it’s not a moral judgment, but one born of pragmatism. You are running a business, or your household, or a non-profit. You need data, and I’m afraid all you’re going to get from the media businesses is stories of Michael Jackson’s monkey’s motives for killing him.

On the bright side, you’re about to discover your inner pundit. So it’s all going to be OK.

Take care of yourselves; take care of someone else; build a great future.

Abandon major media, talk to each other Play Now | Play in Popup | Download
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This is the official trend blog of Competitive Futures, a management consultancy that provides trend research and analysis for business and government around the world. Here, we update you on interesting trends we see as part of our work for our clients.


For managing partner Eric Garland's new author and speaker blog, please consult and bookmark http://www.ericgarland.co

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