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Posts Tagged ‘education’

Student loans outpace credit cards in the United States

Tuesday, 12 April 2011 10:04 Written by Eric Garland 3 Comments

From the New York Times, college students are graduating with increasing amounts of debt, a sum that totals more than Americans are spending on credit cards for the first time.

American labor policy has been to increase the number of college-educated workers as much as possible since the end of the Second World War. Still, the cost of education has been outpacing wages by a factor of 2.5 since 1980. Given the amount of the cost that is borne by student loans, this number is deceptive as to its real impact. The actual amount of wealth spent on education will also have to include interest payments as well.

We believe that there has been a critical error in policy, such that the American government has equated credentials with critical skills. The American economy could end up with millions of college-graduates with credentials on which they are paying interest, but without the skills required by the emerging world economy.

Youth unemployment, the root of disruption

Tuesday, 14 December 2010 17:45 Written by Eric Garland 1 Comment

Our educational and economic institutions of the future are more likely to be disrupted in the future by the millions of young people around the world unable to find meaningful employment in a timely fashion. After all, people are much less likely to see institutions as infallible when they weren’t very helpful.

José Manuel Salazar, Executive Director of the International Labor Organization reports that youth unemployment around the world is between 2.5 and 3.0 times higher than those of older, more experienced adults. He gives a variety of reasons, from lack of financial resources to move for work, to the fact that employers in times of strife can choose from more experienced talent.

This trend meets with another trend as we go forward, the increase of the cost of education. In the United States, four-year universities have increased in price between three and four times in real, inflation-adjusted dollars, within 30 years. That means young people coming out with more debt than ever, needing real employment in their fields making good money as soon as possible to begin to offload the heavy yoke of that obligation.

Those young people need work more than ever and aren’t finding it. Why then will they continue to believe that $50,000 per year universities are necessarily the way to success? How many of them are going to be faced with modern indentured servitude, unable to walk away from those debts no matter what the outcome?

The system is frontloading too much risk onto the youth of the industrialized world, and that risk is not resulting in increased returns as it might in other types of investment. Who will blame them if they can imagine a system of learning and work that does not involve a multi-billion dollar educational-financial cartel?

Building minds for the future

Monday, 18 October 2010 09:47 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

There has been increasing discussion of late about the relative failure of United States schools to produce people ready for the competition of the future. In fact, many citizens, politicians and young people are looking even deeper to see that the schools produce a certain degree of failure that almost seems intentional.

The amazing Sir Ken Robinson has been at the vanguard of this issue for some time, realizing early that our entire model needs to be redesigned. Watch this beautiful animation of his vision.

Giant tablet computers for every kid

Friday, 04 June 2010 10:48 Written by Eric Garland 2 Comments

Tell me that when every kid has one of these that education won’t change forever.

Also, let me know how colleges will keep charging $1000 per semester for books when no printing is required.

This is the stuff that makes you say, “Awesome, I think the future just arrived.”

Kno Movie from Kno, Inc. on Vimeo.

Labor trend: America slouches toward unpaid internships

Sunday, 04 April 2010 14:39 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

There is a broad trend, from real estate to finance to education, in overvaluing the future at the expense of the present. Even though you couldn’t possibly pay for your house on your current wages, the banks financed that property assuming that it would one day be worth more. Pensions offer defined benefits based on the assumption that the future looks much brighter than the present – often assuming sunny-yet-risky 8% returns even in the face of global recession. And nowhere is this more evident than education – with U.S. wages stagnant at around 1.3% growth per annum, university tuition has been growing in the double-digits for years. This means that we once again assume that the future will be a priori more prosperous than the present, otherwise educational institutions would simply have to admit to offering less education, less opportunity per dollar.

Along with our overvalued formal education market, the United States has also been overvaluing early job opportunities. According to the New York Times, more and more U.S. companies have been turning to unpaid internships for actual labor, enough to cause some state attorneys general to pursue them for violating minimum wage laws.

Internships, in principle, are opportunities for students to be exposed to professional situations, while forgoing both compensation and any real work responsibilities. The benefit is supposed to be in the direction of the student, primarily, largely an altruistic gesture on behalf of companies. In practice, though, many companies are taking advantage of the weak job market to get free labor in exchange for padding a candidate’s CV. These companies are failing to provide the educational side of the bargain, and often putting the young people to work in cold-calling, clerical work, and other jobs that are normally compensated in full.

“We’ve had cases where unpaid interns really were displacing workers and where they weren’t being supervised in an educational capacity,” said Bob Estabrook, spokesman for Oregon’s labor department. His department recently handled complaints involving two individuals at a solar panel company who received $3,350 in back pay after claiming that they were wrongly treated as unpaid interns.

Many students said they had held internships that involved noneducational menial work. To be sure, many internships involve some unskilled work, but when the jobs are mostly drudgery, regulators say, it is clearly illegal not to pay interns.

Washington DC especially works like this, but often the exchange is an entree into a highly specialized world – foreign policy, humanitarian work, affinity associations (“Federal Bass Players Association”) – that don’t just hire anywhere. The system is still often abused.

Companies may find this an easy way to get labor for the present, but since these workers are often overburdened with debt, the risk is in talent simply walking away to other endeavors, perhaps even other countries.

There’s a talent crunch coming, in case you haven’t heard.

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This is the official trend blog of Competitive Futures, a management consultancy that provides trend research and analysis for business and government around the world. Here, we update you on interesting trends we see as part of our work for our clients.


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