• Home
  • About
    • About Competitive Futures
    • About Eric Garland
    • News
  • Case studies
    • Competitive strategy
    • Economic development
    • Opportunity assessment
  • Services
    • Research
      • Technology foresight
      • Future customer profiles
      • Competitor positioning
      • Investment due diligence
    • Training
      • Future Intelligence course
      • Real Forecasting
  • Media
    • Best practice reports
    • Books by Eric Garland
    • Articles by Eric Garland
    • Podcast episodes
    • STEEP Reports
    • Presentations
  • Blog
  • Contact

Posts Tagged ‘Economics’

California population trends: increasing while jobs stay flat

Friday, 27 May 2011 13:31 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

A commenter on the California employment situation asks the perfect follow-up question to every trend – what are the other important changes happening? Specifically, if job growth in California is flat over the last decade – are we really in the same economic situation as in 2000?

Answer: No, it’s worse.

 

According to the San Francisco gate, California has added around five million residents, but jobs have not grown along side them.

So really, today’s chart is even more evidence that a “recovery” is not underway in California. The shift must be called something else.

Where goes the California economy, there goes the U.S. economy

Friday, 27 May 2011 11:12 Written by Eric Garland 3 Comments

Our friend and colleague, energy analyst par excellence Gregor Macdonald keeps an eagle-eyed focus on trends in California as a bellwether for the rest of the United States economy. There is good reason behind this: if you just took California alone, it would be larger than France in terms of its GDP. (The French hate this, by the way.)

So when Gregor sees employment statistics rolled back a whole decade in the Golden State, while population has increased steadily, he finds it difficult to believe that we’re in anything like a “recovery.”

We tend to agree.

If America’s states were each a country

Monday, 17 January 2011 10:20 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

The Economist put out a fantastic interactive map of which countries correspond to each of the United States in terms of GDP and population.

From an analysis perspective, this map shows us that when we hear about California’s budget shortfalls or Illinois’ bankrupt pension system, that we are hearing about some local or regional matter. When you put it perspective of California being equivalent to Italy’s economy or Illinois being the same economic footprint as Turkey, perhaps it’s time to tune into news from Sacramento and Springfield.

From a personal perspective, my native Vermont’s economy is equivalent to YEMEN. I suppose that our cheese and maple syrup-based economy is not enough to win us an equivalence to a major world power such as, say, Malta.

Is the West radically misunderstanding the future of business?

Friday, 15 October 2010 13:46 Written by Eric Garland 1 Comment

Forget what we have to say on the subject, take it from the CEO of financial giant HSBC: The world’s economy is shifting with terrible swiftness toward China and India. Now, you’ve heard that opinion expressed a million times – but what Michael Geoghegan is saying is that this is NOT an incremental transition, as many leaders still perceive it.

We still meet executives who believe that a global outlook is a luxury – nice if you have one, but you can live without it. It is hard to imagine understanding the message presented here and persisting in that worldview.

Economic policy and politics need to meet in the middle

Thursday, 08 July 2010 11:12 Written by Dan Vecchi 0 Comments

While economic policy and national politics have always been a couple, sometimes the relationship can be strained by the injection of partisanship. The current crisis requires insight into the actual issues to make policy suggestions. The United States is running a risk by having its economics so colored by bitter partisan divisions, as this is one area where there needs to be solidarity.

In a thought provoking GPS episode, Fareed Zakaria interviews two very different schools of thought on the actions necessary. His conclusions are that we must meet in the middle of the political agendas and look at the economic possibilities. Essentially, his view is that the U.S. government needs to spend more now while also reviewing entitlement programs to make sure each dollar is spent in the most efficient manner – a classic centrist approach.

It is always a risk for a country when political in-fighting colors international economic policy. That is true for Greece, Spain, China, Iceland, and, of course, the United States.

« Older Entries

About the blog

This is the official trend blog of Competitive Futures, a management consultancy that provides trend research and analysis for business and government around the world. Here, we update you on interesting trends we see as part of our work for our clients.


For managing partner Eric Garland's new author and speaker blog, please consult and bookmark http://www.ericgarland.co

Get trend updates sent to your mailbox

Enter your email address:

Delivered by FeedBurner

Sign up for the CompFutures Trend Report

Trends we’re tracking

Tags

agriculture analysis bailout bailouts banking banks business development business models California China competitive intelligence debt disruption Economic Development Economics economy education Energy Entrepreneurialism Facebook finance financial crisis forecasting forecasts foresight future Futurism Greece healthcare intelligence leadership Media mergers mindsets music oil petroleum psychology publishing Retail scenarios social media social networks strategy urbanization
Podcast powered by podPress v8.8.10.12