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Category: mindsets

The future of corporate espionage and security

Monday, 05 April 2010 10:37 Written by Eric Garland 2 Comments

Corporate espionage. Security. Keeping your precious trade secrets from The Bad Guys, whether they be competitors or government agents looking to destabilize your economy.

This. Is. Serious. Stuff! Just ask Washington’s Eamon Javers, who just published Broker, Trader, Lawyer, Spy, about the use of former MI5, CIA, and KGB agents in the corporate wars over market share in the chocolate toy segment. Spies are involved!

He’s even on the Daily Show, the highwater mark of all important information.

The Daily Show With Jon Stewart Mon – Thurs 11p / 10c
Eamon Javers
www.thedailyshow.com
Daily Show Full Episodes Political Humor Health Care Reform

So again, This Is Serious Stuff. Kids, break out your Cold War Mindsets!

This past weekend  I spoke at the George Washington University’s graduate program for high-tech security to discuss the future of intelligence. As the professors expect, I take this from a much more broad perspective, bringing competitive intelligence, futures studies, scenario planning, stochastic thinking, and general irreverence into a bouillabaise we call Intelligence 2.0.

The real news piece here is that I am excited for the next generation of leaders. The dialogue that ensued among these future security professionals was broad-ranging, insightful, and fun. We’ll need plenty of all three in order to meet the needs of organizations that exist in a world of pervasive media, and these young people seem up to the challenge.

Some major points that came out of our dialogue:

  • A command-and-control mindset about information will not fit with a world of social media – the goal will be to limit risk for a certain number of activities, not to funnel all information through one conduit.
  • Asymmetry of analysis will be more important than asymmetry of information – it’s not who collects the most data, but who is the best at deriving insights who will be most effective.
  • A corporate culture of constantly hiring and downsizing employees with decreasing levels of engagement is no recipe for data security – many corporations are begging for their data to hit the wild Internet through shoddy HR practices.
  • The shift to Gen X management will be huge – while Boomers came up on strictly hierarchical, militaristic command structures, Gen X and Y believe much more in sharing information, decisionmaking power, even credit. This will change what “secure” means in the future.
  • Increasingly multinational corporations are turning to nation-state legal apparatuses to enforce their own security needs – even though the economic benefit will not necessary transfer to the nation-state in question. Over time, tension will increase about this issue.

Not bad for a grad school class on a Saturday before lunch, am I right? If these are our future leaders, I couldn’t feel any more secure.

Publishing’s future is dead, unless you read backwards

Saturday, 20 March 2010 10:56 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

Watch this all the way through. This was apparently an internal report for Penguin Publishing, a group I now figure might survive if they are thinking this way instead of lamenting the complexities of the iPad.

Brilliance.

The telephone: an even BIGGER threat than I thought

Thursday, 18 March 2010 12:22 Written by Eric Garland 1 Comment

With a hat tip to August Jackson, Lloyd’s of London schools us further in the outlandish corporate risk due to the telephone.

Had I not seen this, we might have started using such dangerous technology recklessly.

New technology – the threat to our information
View more presentations from normanlamont.

Short-term and long-term business planning – what timeframe?

Thursday, 21 January 2010 21:47 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

We spied a very interesting interesting graph from Rick Telberg, who may possibly be the only competitive intelligence professional I know focused on strategic trends for tax, finance and accounting professionals. His company surveyed a very interesting question – what do you consider short-term planning?

The answer, after a billion articles about futurism, The Art of the Long View, scenario planning, technology foresight, and all the rest, is still a bit shocking.

Half of people interviewed actually considered short-term to be within three months. One out of five thought of their short-term as one week.

What could they possibly think of as super long-term? A year? Eighteen months?

How can you discuss peak oil, Boomer retirement, housing trends, the rise of Asia Pacific?

Bear this in mind as you try to discuss strategic trends.

Simple mental calisthenics for innovation

Friday, 15 January 2010 09:16 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

No fancy charts. No ultra-complex matrices of trends, implications and scenarios, backed by authority figures. Today, a question:

What if every obstacle to your future is actually a strength, a challenge that will drive you toward an elegant solution?

What if, for today, you thought of everything impossible in the world as the key to your ultimate success.

Will difficulty make you shut down your creative faculties when you need them most? Or will you mentally rise to the occasion?

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About the blog

This is the official trend blog of Competitive Futures, a management consultancy that provides trend research and analysis for business and government around the world. Here, we update you on interesting trends we see as part of our work for our clients.


For managing partner Eric Garland's new author and speaker blog, please consult and bookmark http://www.ericgarland.co

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