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Category: Media

Twitter “worth” twice the New York Times

Thursday, 16 December 2010 15:48 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

Yes, that’s the headline making the rounds, and I suppose it is a signpost on the way to the future of media. Twitter just raised an additional $200 million, bringing its market cap to $3.7 billion. We are then reminded that this is twice the market capital of the “New York Times Company,” which apparently produces a small local weekly shopper tabloid in the Long Island metropolitan area, so the comparison is a Big Deal.

Question: What does Twitter do to make money?

Google: They have a clear business model: give search and YouTube and mail away for free, and stuff them full of target ads based on what the user is doing at the moment. Brilliant, profitable, and results in a $500 per share stock price.

Facebook: They have managed to get every human being on the planet to connect to each other and post pictures of their respective pets and undignified moments from high school. The humans all agree tacitly to let this data be harvested, which is bought by market researchers and advertisers. Clear, a bit more complex ethically, but likely monetizeable.

New York Times: Long form, urbane in-depth journalism with ads on every other page. Clear, 20th century , maybe-profitable-again-one-day business model.

Twitter: …sponsored tweets? Some people pay for them?

First, while I love Twitter and find it functional, until I understand what they buy low and sell high, I will reserve judgment on their business model and what it means for other companies.

Second, they shouldn’t be compared to the New York Times. Yes, newspapers are on hard times. Yes, their model was more successful in the 20th century. But the insight provided by long-form journalism is not remotely equivalent to 140 character blasts about “Dang, it’s snowy and mah car is burried!”

Just because something is no longer hip does not mean you should underestimate its importance. If I said “railroads” and “Chevy Volt,” which term would have more relevance to the “hotness” of 2010? Well, Berkshire Hathaway dropped $44 billion to acquire the Burlington Northern Sante Fe railroad. Very 19th century in terms of hipness, I’ll grant you, but Buffett is no dummy.

Pam Atherton: Don’t build a large audience! and other observations on the future of the media

Monday, 06 December 2010 14:34 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

Pam Atherton is one of our favorite human beings here at Competitive Futures. She talks for a living. She knows Weird Al Yankovic. She lives in New Mexico, an inherently cool place to be. And she knows a ton about the past and future of radio. Pam is the host of a wonderful, eclectic radio program entitled A Closer Look Radio. She has had me on as a guest regularly since the release of Future Inc, and as punishment, I have insisted on interviewing HER about where the media is going in the next twenty years.

Her insights on future trends in media are, as expected, fantastic, not to mention useful for business people, intelligence analysts, and everybody else:

  • We’re exiting the era of absolutely everybody producing media and thinking it’s of equal quality. Whether it sounds elitist or not, Andrew Keen is right.
  • Why podcasts and long-form journalism will return intellectual depth to the media ecosystem.
  • Market research is usually wrong, and sends the media professionals in the wrong direction when creating content.
  • As counterintuitive as it sounds, the era of the big audience is over – business people should cultivate small, committed audiences with which they have actual engagement.

A wry point of view on the level of major media

Tuesday, 07 September 2010 21:14 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

Because, sometimes, you need a more advanced form of information to make good decisions about the future.


TIME Announces New Version Of Magazine Aimed At Adults

Perceiving the universe through the American media

Tuesday, 30 March 2010 15:35 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

I love this video, not just for being funny, but because it defines in literal terms what it’s like to formulate some coherent story about the world and how it’s changing through American media.

Adult language; it’s The Onion after all.


Breaking News: Some Bullshit Happening Somewhere

Publishing’s future is dead, unless you read backwards

Saturday, 20 March 2010 10:56 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

Watch this all the way through. This was apparently an internal report for Penguin Publishing, a group I now figure might survive if they are thinking this way instead of lamenting the complexities of the iPad.

Brilliance.

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About the blog

This is the official trend blog of Competitive Futures, a management consultancy that provides trend research and analysis for business and government around the world. Here, we update you on interesting trends we see as part of our work for our clients.


For managing partner Eric Garland's new author and speaker blog, please consult and bookmark http://www.ericgarland.co

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