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Category: leadership

Eric Garland on a Closer Look Radio: Libya, gardens, and the government shutdown

Friday, 08 April 2011 13:12 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

Back once again with the fantastic Pam Atherton on A Closer Look Radio, Eric ties together the disparate topics of locavore restaurants, revolution in Egypt, and fake government shutdowns to what it all means for YOU and your business.

Nokia’s CEO can actually handle bad news!

Wednesday, 09 February 2011 10:02 Written by Eric Garland 3 Comments

Culture is a huge issue in competitive intelligence. It all comes down to whether your organization can handle good news AND bad news, or just the happy “We’re number one!” sunshine reports. If a corporate culture can’t maturely deal with both positive and negative information, real intelligence is nearly impossible.

This is probably worst in America. In the words of former Senator Adlai Stevenson “You will find that the truth is often unpopular and the contest between agreeable fancy and disagreeable fact is unequal. For, in the vernacular, we Americans are suckers for good news.” In all but the most sophisticated companies, good news goes up the chain and earns a pat on the head, while if you try to pass along negative information about your competitive position, people may say that you’re “not a team player.”

That said, get a load of Nokia’s new CEO in a memo to his company about the competition in the smartphone market!

“The first iPhone shipped in 2007, and we still don’t have a product that is close to their experience. Android came on the scene just over 2 years ago, and this week they took our leadership position in smartphone volumes. Unbelievable.“

What? A CEO saying to the entire company that they are headed in the wrong direction and honestly assessing the position of their competitors in public? These are the Finnish, a wary and shrewd people historically surrounded by aggressive empires and bitter cold. Their skeptical nature is what led them to get into cell phones at the end of the Cold War, realizing that the end of the USSR could mean the end of their business – and they acted boldly to make new investments.

Want more? Check out the brutal honesty:

  • “…there is intense heat coming from our competitors, more rapidly than we ever expected. Apple disrupted the market by redefining the smartphone and attracting developers to a closed, but very powerful ecosystem.”
  • “They changed the game, and today, Apple owns the high-end range.”
  • “Google has become a gravitational force, drawing much of the industry’s innovation to its core.”
  • “We have some brilliant sources of innovation inside Nokia, but we are not bringing it to market fast enough. We thought MeeGo would be a platform for winning high-end smartphones. However, at this rate, by the end of 2011, we might have only one MeeGo product in the market.”
  • “…Symbian is proving to be an increasingly difficult environment in which to develop to meet the continuously expanding consumer requirements…”
  • “Our competitors aren’t taking our market share with devices; they are taking our market share with an entire ecosystem.”
  • “We poured gasoline on our own burning platform. I believe we have lacked accountability and leadership to align and direct the company through these disruptive times. We had a series of misses. We haven’t been delivering innovation fast enough. We’re not collaborating internally. Nokia, our platform is burning.”

Read the whole thing.

Now tell me, does a culture of competitive intelligence come from the top, or what?

Homo economicus mortus est? (Who needs economists?)

Tuesday, 06 July 2010 20:47 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

Does anybody need economists?

This is the subject of a fascinating polemic raised by our colleague Gregor MacDonald. He notes, in an incredible understatement, “economists don’t ‘do’ energy.” They are content to set Keynes and Hayek in a never-ending cage match over monetarism versus free markets, while petroleum dwindles, Boomers retire, technology flattens work hierarchies – while real things are actually happening.

Some of the debate is set off by the paper embedded below by a Federal Reserve Bank economist. As the title indicates, he doesn’t think much of the input of non-specialists. We then have a similar question for his profession – how is it that we all participate in economic activity, and only you feel qualified to comment on it? And while we’re on the subject, why didn’t you predict an absurdly obvious bubble and subsequent crash?

Some things are too difficult for the laity to understand. Most of the hard sciences are really impossible to comprehend to outsiders, and news reports on their breakthroughs are often comically misunderstood. But is economics a hard science? Isn’t it a social science based around people trading things? Can we discuss our economy without the need for technocrats of this sort?

Economics is Hard

Gregor Macdonald on the future of energy, economics, and society

Tuesday, 02 February 2010 12:46 Written by Eric Garland 1 Comment

For those of you who know Gregor MacDonald, you know you’re in for a treat with this podcast- a full hour of some of Gregor’s latest forecasts on energy, economics and society, insights you simply won’t get anywhere else.

For those of you who haven’t discovered Gregor yet, he is one of the top energy analysts in the world, and in our minds, one of the top analysts of anything, period.

This podcast covers sweeping ground:

  • Why we’re at peak automobiles
  • The end of cheap oil
  • Coal’s role in the development of the world economy
  • The return to human capital and small towns
  • Why waterways are the future
  • Our current period of “late phase economic decadence
  • Why PAKISTAN holds the key to the Copenhagen Protocol

Crazier still, we could have spend ANOTHER hour talking to him and still not exhausted him of insight.

Enjoy.

Competitive Futures Podcast with Gregor Macdonald Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

Post-modern management: Partnership more important than leadership in 2010

Monday, 28 December 2009 11:18 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

Professor Karl Moore from McGill, who did that interview with Michael Porter the other day on the future of business’ role in society, is back with a TED talk he gave on the future of post-modern management. He notes that as the internet creates a system of “algorithmic authority” and tears down the rigidity of authority, “leadership” and “management” will have less impact on team-building than partnership, especially for those under age thirty-five.

Given the role of larger and larger bureaucracies in many key industries, this reality will be quite disruptive.

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This is the official trend blog of Competitive Futures, a management consultancy that provides trend research and analysis for business and government around the world. Here, we update you on interesting trends we see as part of our work for our clients.


For managing partner Eric Garland's new author and speaker blog, please consult and bookmark http://www.ericgarland.co

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