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Category: Economic Development

Africa may be self-sufficient for food by 2025

Friday, 03 December 2010 11:18 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

The interesting thing about studying the future, is that trends are usually developing while we’re busy looking at other things. This is a very positive trend coming from Africa:

Currently a net food importer, Africa has the potential to become a food exporter through a combination of modern technology, improved infrastructure and better technical education, according to the study.

Calestous Juma, professor of the practice of international development at the Harvard Kennedy School in the United States, led the research, which was funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.

“Seventy percent of employment in Africa comes from agriculture, so you can argue that in Africa agriculture and economy are synonymous,” he said. “In effect, you cannot modernize the economy in Africa without starting with agriculture.”

Is the West radically misunderstanding the future of business?

Friday, 15 October 2010 13:46 Written by Eric Garland 1 Comment

Forget what we have to say on the subject, take it from the CEO of financial giant HSBC: The world’s economy is shifting with terrible swiftness toward China and India. Now, you’ve heard that opinion expressed a million times – but what Michael Geoghegan is saying is that this is NOT an incremental transition, as many leaders still perceive it.

We still meet executives who believe that a global outlook is a luxury – nice if you have one, but you can live without it. It is hard to imagine understanding the message presented here and persisting in that worldview.

Future of economic development: Countries cannot possibly be poor

Tuesday, 07 September 2010 13:27 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

Competitive Futures is currently partnering with a wonderful organization that deserves your support, Haiti Futur, a group that is working tirelessly on the revitalization of Haiti from a foresight point-of-view. Since the country has essentially been leveled, there is a magnificent opportunity to build a new, future-focused infrastructure using the broadest vision and most modern techniques for sustainability. Its chief mission is revitalizing the intellectual capital of the country through education, a great place to start when you think of building a foundation for a brighter future.

Talking with the group’s director, Josette Bruffaerts-Thomas, some fascinating points about economic development, and its future, arise. For example, Mme Bruffaerts dismantles the phrase “poor country.” To hear her tell it, economic development is not about increasing riches, but reducing suffering. This makes sense as soon as she brings out examples – Nigeria is a hundred times richer than Denmark or the Netherlands in any material sense. There are more natural riches of all kinds, but most everyone would say that between education, illness, and joblessness, Nigerians suffer more on average than the Dutch. But this is not to say that Nigeria is poor – just that its people are suffering, and that policies can be undertaken to improve things. To say that a country is poor is to subconsciously condemn it to one definition of economic wealth.

When you think about it, this is a completely different frame for economic development, which is usually focused on bringing in industries or creating tax base. In this frame, the central focus of all activity is improving social and intellectual capital, which may indeed be aided by the invitation of foreign direct investment, the establishment of new industries, or the building of new infrastructure such as bridges and hospitals. Yet the true measurement remains the well-being of the people.

When you consider how the numerically-based monetary system may soon be collapsing under its too-numerous contradictions, this frame of reference for economic development may be useful to us all.

Rupture! from Michel Cartier

Wednesday, 31 March 2010 12:06 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

I have no idea how I managed to miss this incredible video for so long:

Are You Ready for the 21st Century ? from Michel Cartier on Vimeo.

In praise of slow economic development: St Louis versus Baltimore

Wednesday, 24 February 2010 11:48 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

It’s blue skies over the Midwest as I travel to work with clients here in St Louis. Driving into the orderly, clean, rapidly-revitalizing downtown district, I cannot help but make a comparison in how different this city’s economic development has been compared with Baltimore.

Both cities had thriving manufacturing sectors early in 20th Century. Both cities hollowed out in the 1970s, expanding in endlessly-sprawling suburbs in all directions. Both cities left the infrastructure of their downtowns to rot. And both began projects of revitalization in the 1990s, hoping to heal the scars of gross economic inequity and re-center their civic life.

Baltimore launched a massive redevelopment centering around national big-box retail and major attractions. It is bankrupt.

St Louis redeveloped slowly, around local retailers, local investors, small projects. Block by block, it has gotten a little better each year, improving real estate, increasing access to services, getting a bit cleaner, a bit prettier. Nothing too drastic.

The value in slow growth seems to be showing itself…slowly.

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About the blog

This is the official trend blog of Competitive Futures, a management consultancy that provides trend research and analysis for business and government around the world. Here, we update you on interesting trends we see as part of our work for our clients.


For managing partner Eric Garland's new author and speaker blog, please consult and bookmark http://www.ericgarland.co

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