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	<title>The Competitive Futures Blog &#187; Aging Populations</title>
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	<link>http://blog.competitivefutures.com</link>
	<description>Trends, forecasts, scenarios, opinions on the future</description>
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	<itunes:summary>Eric Garland's podcast about future trends, strategic intelligence, and leadership - insights about the changing world, and how we can use it to make better decisions. More at http://www.competitivefutures.com</itunes:summary>
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	<itunes:author>Eric Garland</itunes:author>
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		<title>General Motors&#8217; new concept car for dense urbanization</title>
		<link>http://blog.competitivefutures.com/2011/01/07/general-motors-en-v/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.competitivefutures.com/2011/01/07/general-motors-en-v/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Jan 2011 15:23:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eric Garland</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Aging Populations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[automotive]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[urbanization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aging populations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EN-V]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[futurist bait]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General Motors]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.competitivefutures.com/?p=1742</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Though General Motors has had a rough few years, what with bankruptcy, you couldn&#8217;t be blamed if you thought that the company was just trying to get through the short term. It may surprise you, then, to hear that the company was actually one of the world&#8217;s most reliable sponsors of foresight, constantly scanning science, [...]]]></description>
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			<a href="http://api.tweetmeme.com/share?url=http%3A%2F%2Fblog.competitivefutures.com%2F2011%2F01%2F07%2Fgeneral-motors-en-v%2F"><br />
				<img src="http://api.tweetmeme.com/imagebutton.gif?url=http%3A%2F%2Fblog.competitivefutures.com%2F2011%2F01%2F07%2Fgeneral-motors-en-v%2F&amp;style=normal&amp;b=2" height="61" width="50" /><br />
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<p><a rel="attachment wp-att-1743" href="http://blog.competitivefutures.com/2011/01/07/general-motors-en-v/olympus-digital-camera/"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1743" title="General Motors EN-V" src="http://blog.competitivefutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/GeneralMotorsEN-V-300x225.jpg" alt="General Motors EN-V" width="300" height="225" /></a>Though General Motors has had a rough few years, what with bankruptcy, you couldn&#8217;t be blamed if you thought that the company was just trying to get through the short term. It may surprise you, then, to hear that the company was actually one of the world&#8217;s most reliable sponsors of foresight, constantly scanning science, tech, demographic and ecological trends to inform new products and practices.</p>
<p>The press release for the Electric Networked Vehicle, pictured here at the CES show in Las Vegas, sounds like it was <a href="http://media.gm.com/content/media/us/en/news/news_detail.html/content/Pages/news/us/en/2010/Mar/0324_env" target="_blank">penned directly by a futurist</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p><em><strong>Shanghai </strong>– By 2030, urban areas will be home to more than 60  percent of the world’s 8 billion people.  This will put tremendous  pressure on a public infrastructure that is already struggling to meet  the growing demand for transportation and basic services.</em></p>
<p><em>General Motors and its strategic partner, Shanghai Automotive  Industry Corp. Group (SAIC), share a common vision for addressing the  need for personal mobility through a radical change in personal urban  transportation.  They are exploring several solutions for tomorrow’s  drivers.  Among the most promising is a new vehicle form called EN-V</em>.</p></blockquote>
<p>I look at it and think it taps two megatrends &#8211; urbanization and aging populations. You can see it equally comfortable to zip around downtown Ho Chi Min City or the adult retirement/entertainment community.</p>
<p>And cripes &#8211; LOOK AT IT. This is futurist bait!</p>
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		<title>The TRILLION dollar gap in pension funds</title>
		<link>http://blog.competitivefutures.com/2010/02/18/the-trillion-dollar-gap-in-pension-funds/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.competitivefutures.com/2010/02/18/the-trillion-dollar-gap-in-pension-funds/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Feb 2010 12:54:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eric Garland</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Aging Populations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fiscal crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pension funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rioting seniors]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.competitivefutures.com/?p=1359</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Envision, if you will, rioting octogenarians, phalanxes of retired teachers, government office managers and firefighters protesting the sudden cessation of payments from their pension funds. Imagine some way that American states are going to overcome the apparently one trillion dollar gap in state pension funds while simultaneously dealing with an economy so clearly in transition. [...]]]></description>
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<p><a href="http://blog.competitivefutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/OldPeoplevRiotSquad.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1360 alignright" style="margin: 5px;" title="OldPeoplevRiotSquad" src="http://blog.competitivefutures.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/OldPeoplevRiotSquad.jpg" alt="Old People vs the Riot Squad" width="282" height="172" /></a>Envision, if you will, rioting octogenarians, phalanxes of retired teachers, government office managers and firefighters protesting the sudden cessation of payments from their pension funds.</p>
<p>Imagine some way that American states are going to overcome the apparently <a href="http://www.pewcenteronthestates.org/uploadedFiles/Trillion_Dollar_Gap_embargoed.pdf" target="_blank">one trillion dollar gap in state pension funds</a> while simultaneously dealing with an economy so clearly in transition.</p>
<p><em>Pause with me, as I add a little extra whisky to the morning coffee. That&#8217;s trillion with a T.</em></p>
<p>The Pew Center for the States sure had a headline for us all today with that report, especially speaking as we are about fiscal &#8220;challenges&#8221; that are popping up, threatening to return Greece to an olive-based economy, put Spain back in the Conquistador business, and convince us to give California back to Mexico if they agree to keep making the lease payments.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>Funeral fun facts</title>
		<link>http://blog.competitivefutures.com/2010/02/04/funeral-fun-facts/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.competitivefutures.com/2010/02/04/funeral-fun-facts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Feb 2010 13:41:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eric Garland</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Aging Populations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cremation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[funeral trends]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.competitivefutures.com/?p=1321</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[At the Tastee Diner this morning I had the pleasure of sitting next to a retired man who now makes his extra fun money driving a hearse. Little did I know I would be hearing about strategic trends and secondary implications of the economy&#8217;s transition. Just two days ago, when lecturing at American University, I [...]]]></description>
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<p>At the Tastee Diner this morning I had the pleasure of sitting next to a retired man who now makes his extra fun money driving a hearse. Little did I know I would be hearing about strategic trends and secondary implications of the economy&#8217;s transition.</p>
<p>Just two days ago, when lecturing at American University, I heard MBA students using the funeral industry as an example of the longer trend in industry consolidation, and simultaneously as an example of profitable opportunities resulting from the global megatrend of aging populations. The professor then spoke up to mention that formal funerals, which regular cost a five-digit sum in America, are sharply down in favor of cremations, around 25% year-over-year.</p>
<p>During breakfast, my new companion informed me that cremations are up, about 25% year over year &#8211; and that fewer funeral homes are able to afford their own hearses since their use is becoming comparatively more rare. The cause is assumed to be the lasting effects of the recession.</p>
<p>Twice with the same unusual trend in the same week? Clearly the futurism gods are telling me to look up this development further. And lo, on the Internet you can find voluminous and <a href="http://cremationoptions.com/blog/index.php/page/2/?s=trends" target="_blank">interesting trends and forecasts for the &#8220;celebratory services&#8221; industry</a>.</p>
<p>Today, open up the yellow pages, find some unusual businesses and ask yourself what trends they must be experiencing. You will find interesting fodder for your own strategic thinking.</p>
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