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Corporate profits: business-as-usual in America, with a twist

Monday, 25 April 2011 10:39 Last Updated on Monday, 25 April 2011 10:50 Written by Eric Garland 1 Comment

This chart says some interesting things about the post-2008 business world in America. Specifically, it screams that if you are involved in business, the world probably looks very different than it does if you are a teacher, a carpenter, a senior depending on fixed income, or a new grad looking for work.

Over the past 30 years, there have been ups and downs, but if you are a publicly traded large company, you can definitely expect more than five percent return on your capital, and often you can expect much more than the average investor. But what really interests us is that in the post-2008 world of crazy gloom and doom and bailouts – the profit margins look like we’re in a golden age.

Corporate profit trendsAsk the average American, the consumer on whom this success is supposedly based: Are we in a golden age? Does it feel like we’re in a golden age?

Most systems depend on there being a shared sense of meaning. Post-War American success was shared by a broad range of people on the socio-economic spectrum, many of them recent immigrants. The notion of free markets succeeding over a communist enemy provided a certain cohesion to the narrative of what was happening. Are we getting richer? Well, we have a better system and we’re all prospering.

What does this system say about us? Does it make sense? Does it speak to a variety of people?

Tags:  corporate profit
This entry was posted on Monday, April 25th, 2011 at 10:39 am and is filed under Business, Culture, finance, Society. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
  • http://twitter.com/RupyYuan Rupy Yuan

    No government wants to pay down debt if they can literally pass the buck; no organization wants to lose momentum; nor the common voter want to bear the brunt of any long-term adjustment or transition that does not look like an immediate crisis.

    What the GDI graph below says to me is that we are living in a primary moment of a the high-wire balancing act that no group wants to presently address.

    Contributions to Growth in GDI Graph
    http://seekingalpha.com/article/249094-gdi-shows-faster-growth-mostly-from-corporate-profits

    What then the original chart tells me is that corporate profits are a high water mark, at a time when the low water mark is the failure to choose a short-term pain threshold that tackles the US current account deficit without throwing the pain onto the backs of those born after 2015.

    Without easing the deficit immediately from top of the line now, it will come strictly from the bottom line in the future (or in metaphorical terms, from the marrow of the economy rather than the meat).

    Then I wonder who would want to be President when the days of reckoning arrive and the buck can no longer be passed on?

    [$M.]

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This is the official trend blog of Competitive Futures, a management consultancy that provides trend research and analysis for business and government around the world. Here, we update you on interesting trends we see as part of our work for our clients.


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