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Deleveraging the future – a bit more on the household savings rate

Wednesday, 01 July 2009 12:25 Last Updated on Wednesday, 01 July 2009 13:39 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

household debt 4Courtesy of Mish, I just found a great chart that shows the economic behavior of American households as it pertains to savings. What I love about this graphic is the recognition that the 0% savings rate also occured at the moment of peak credit. When you’ve got access to all manner of liquidity, you are less likely to perceive the need for your own stockpile of liquid cash. And when the crash comes, you’re likely to go the other direction.

The main takeaway here is that we are in a period of deleveraging that may continue for years to decades. Households are leveraged, banks are in hock, the country is in major debt. Only two choices remain: get out of debt, or spin further into the fantasy world of fake money. Only countries have the right to make the latter decision – the rest of us have to start putting some black ink into the ledgers.

How do you think the deleveraging market will change your strategy?

Tags:  debt, deleveraging
This entry was posted on Wednesday, July 1st, 2009 at 12:25 pm and is filed under Economics. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

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This is the official trend blog of Competitive Futures, a management consultancy that provides trend research and analysis for business and government around the world. Here, we update you on interesting trends we see as part of our work for our clients.


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