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Archive for April, 2009

Why you should turn off the television news and think of the market any way you want

Monday, 27 April 2009 17:07 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

From the insightful analysts at CNBC:

At 10:14am:”Stocks Slide on Swine-Flu Fears”

At: 11:21am: “Stocks Rebound as Traders Find Flu Trade”

No further comment is required.

“By 2025, up to 83% of the world’s work could be done by the world’s poorest man, in Afghanistan”

Monday, 27 April 2009 14:07 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

The Onion explores forecasts in outsourcing:


More American Workers Outsourcing Own Jobs Overseas

The longer cycles at play in the current crisis

Monday, 27 April 2009 13:20 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

I’m excited when people get away from looking at the current crisis in comparison with 1995, and start viewing the longer trends at play, ones that take decades to unfold.

Check out this graphic by Charles Hughes Smith, in which he sees considerably larger patterns of wages, credit, and energy.

4-cycles3

1. Peak oil, or the depletion cycle/end-game of the global economy’s complete dependence on inexpensive, readily available petroleum/fossil fuels.

2. The cycle of credit expansion and contraction (approximately 60-70 years), which is now beginning the transition from unsustainable credit expansion (bubble) to renunciation of debt (credit collapse) and global depression.

3. The generational cycle (4 generations or approximately 80 years) of American history which leads to nation-changing social, political and economic upheaval. (The American Revolution: 1781 +80 years = Civil War, 1861 +80 years = 1941, World War II + 80 years = 2021)

4. The 100+ year cycle of price inflation and stagnation of wages’ purchasing-power which began around 1901 is now reaching the final stage of widespread turmoil, shortages, famine, war, conflict and crisis.

Slides from “Keep It Positive” at SCIP09

Thursday, 23 April 2009 18:21 Written by Eric Garland 1 Comment

As promised these are the slides from this afternoon’s talk about telling negative stories with a positive, business development spin.

Keep It Positive: Using Competitive Intelligence to Enhance Business Development
View more presentations from Eric Garland.

Follow the proceedings at SCIP09 right here

Wednesday, 22 April 2009 14:58 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

We’re currently in Chicago at the 2009 annual meeting of the Society of Competitive Intelligence Professionals. It’s nothing compared to the environment of being here live, but feel free to enjoy the Twitter feeds of CI professionals posting with the tag #scip09.

If you’re in Chicago, stop on by!

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About the blog

This is the official trend blog of Competitive Futures, a management consultancy that provides trend research and analysis for business and government around the world. Here, we update you on interesting trends we see as part of our work for our clients.


For managing partner Eric Garland's new author and speaker blog, please consult and bookmark http://www.ericgarland.co

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