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Archive for January, 2009

The future is free

Wednesday, 28 January 2009 11:57 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

I have received many emails from colleagues this week about their impending layoff. Many of these people have been with their organizations for ten and twenty years. They are some of the most talented people I know, and have decades left of valuable work to offer the world.

So where are they going?

It may not feel like this at first, but they are being set free. Not free, as in free-range chickens, where all your food and shelter is provided, but free as in “released into the wild.” Available to form new organizations, able to contribute in unheard of ways, electronically, in person, part-time, for custom projects, for ONE-NIGHT-ONLY! The opportunities are endless. The insecurity as well.

You know what else will be free? Office space. Retail space. Homes in the suburbs.

mags_diary21_retail_graph_2A quick statistic: The United States has more than 20 square feet of retail space per person, according to Shopping Centers Today.

Italy has 1.1 square feet per person, and still manages to drink fantastic wine and provide charming shoes to all of its female citizens. They make Ferraris and biotech and electronics and they somehow only require 5% of the retail space that Americans have built.

The retail space, like the suburban homes they were supposed to serve, will come crashing down in price over the next two years. Space, particularly ugly space, will be virtually free.

2011: You want to own your own basketball court? Fine. Thinking of starting a university? It’ll probably be feasible. Want to open a roller rink/flea market, but never could find the space? No problem.

These times will be scary for certain, but maybe even exhilerating as well. People and space are going to be freed. What will you build out of it?

Economic disaster! And, um…MILLIONS OF iPhones!

Wednesday, 28 January 2009 11:04 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

If we are on the brink of a Great Depression, the run up to it looks a little unusual:

AT&T said Wednesday that it activated 1.9 million iPhone 3Gs in the fourth quarter with 40 percent of those activations representing new customers.

In the back half of 2008, AT&T activated more than 4.3 million iPhones (statement). AT&T also noted that it iPhone customers deliver higher revenue per user and have lower churn rates.

via ยป AT&T: 1.9 million iPhones activated | Between the Lines | ZDNet.com.

Use competitive intelligence in tough markets

Wednesday, 28 January 2009 09:41 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

Great article in the Globe and Mail today about how competitive intelligence is especially useful in down markets.

Important quote: “All it takes is time.”

Indeed. This is a wonderful moment to stop, enjoy stillness, and contemplate what’s really happening, away from the strife of bad news. KEEP THINKING. All it takes is time.

Most awesome winter device ever created

Tuesday, 27 January 2009 13:25 Written by Eric Garland 0 Comments

Ladies and gentlemen, it’s snowing a few flakes here in Washington, which means the place is completely dysfunctional. This makes me wistful for Vermont’s actual winter – which is why you MUST check out this snowblower, built by Canadians, with a V8 engine!


When Kai Grundt announced his decision to build the ultimate snowblower from a discarded V8 engine, a friend of his just laughed. So a year later, instead of showing his buddy the finished product, Grundt showed him what it could do. He buried the man’s truck under a seven-foot-tall pyramid of snow. From two houses away.

-25 degree weather is still the mother of all invention.

The First 100 Days of the Future

Tuesday, 27 January 2009 11:29 Written by Eric Garland 1 Comment

This weekend I came together with philosopher Chris Largent and “America’s Top Ego Rancher” Sue Snyder for an event called “The First 100 Days of the Future.” This all-day seminar was designed to bring participants quickly up to speed on major trends and to apply them right away to a “Template for Recovery” that they could use immediately to move themselves and their organizations to a more positive future.

The major takeaway for us: people are tired of bad news and excited to begin the process of creation. The best feedback we received was, “I came in here nervous about the future of the world and walked out full of hope, new ideas, and new tools I can apply today.”

And that, folks, is why we do this.

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About the blog

This is the official trend blog of Competitive Futures, a management consultancy that provides trend research and analysis for business and government around the world. Here, we update you on interesting trends we see as part of our work for our clients.


For managing partner Eric Garland's new author and speaker blog, please consult and bookmark http://www.ericgarland.co

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